Getting Found Out
This league is absolutely all over the place. The top 8 doesn’t consist of a single parachute team, and going into this game, all 3 relegated teams were sat in the bottom half. Rangers, before visiting Derby, had lost one in eight, but by then the performances had started to dip, and it started to feel like we were due a humbling.
So, in typical sh*t-the-bed fashion, our impressive run of form came to a disappointing yet deserved conclusion when we handed 3 points to Eustace’s struggling Rams (who have now won 3 on the bounce). I didn’t manage to watch this game, and couldn’t find enough highlights, even on Derby’s part, to conjure anything up, so I didn’t bother.
This weekend’s opponents were yet to win on the road. Therefore, we knew exactly what we were in for. It’s just how football works. This was always going to be a defeat. Don’t care how stupid that may sound. Guaranteed loss. But 4-1? At home? That’s unforgivable. Without messing about, let’s get it over with so we can all get on with our week.
We’ll start with the team selection. Because the way I see it, we’d given ourselves a handicap before even entering the pitch. Stephan’s selection will be the main talking point this week, partly so I can avoid as much reflection on the actual game as possible. So, if you aren’t interested in hearing me whine about the lineup, this one probably isn’t for you.
Whichever full-backs you play are inevitably going to struggle against Jayden Philogene, 19 year-old £17million Norwegian wonderkid Sindre Walle Egeli (no I’d never heard of him either), or even Jack Clarke if McKenna decides to start him instead. Pace wasn’t really an option for us, so it’s crucial you pick your best, most capable and experienced bodies.
Jimmy Dunne is club captain, and played an important role in our unbeaten run and the defensive solidity we showed throughout it. So whilst, even at his best, he struggles against any winger with a modicum of pace, we know he’s never in any real danger of losing that right-back spot. Not least because his only competition is someone’s Australian cousin who’s flown over on a visitor’s VISA to train with the first team and never get any minutes, before likely travelling somewhere else next year on loan.
On the left, we’d already come up with a short-term solution, bringing in a very decent left-back on loan who’s helped considerably in sorting our back line out. He may be due a rest, but, with his parent club coming up, could it not have waited one more week?
We also had a whole week to prepare for this fixture, with more or less a fully-fit squad, so why not play our best players? Why give a start to a young, inexperienced, defensively questionable left-back against an attack as dangerous as Ipswich’s? Talk about getting chucked in the deep end.
The double pivot had run out of steam over the last couple of weeks, with Jonathan Varane in particular having a bit of a rough patch. Madsen has continued to be one of our key players, and so it was likely to be a Hayden-Madsen pivot. What no one would’ve predicted though, was that they would be lined up in a flat 4.
When you play a flat 4-4-2, you have to have natural wingers who, in addition to their technical ability, are able to compete physically, cover their full-backs, stick to the touch-line and have the legs to run back and forth for 90 minutes. It’s not a player profile that’s been popular since the days of Stewart Downing, Ashley Young, Marc Albrighton etc. and with how the game has evolved tactically, it’s not a set-up you see much anymore, with wingers often sat higher up the pitch and more reliant on pace, taking their man on or cutting inside.
It’s absolutely mind-boggling then, how someone with years of experience in coaching elite level football players, could play two natural 10s in right and left midfield, in a flat 4-4-2. Especially when you have players like Koki Saito (who puts himself about more than his size would suggest), and even Kwame Poku on the bench.
Harvey Vale has played primarily on the right-wing in a 4-2-3-1 and done well, so at least there’s a slight justification for that, but I can’t stress how badly I wanted to head back to the pub when I heard that Ilias Chair might be playing on the left.
When Stephan took over, he explicitly assured us that he would be reverting Ilias Chair back to his position in the hole. The Moroccan picked up an injury in our opener (because of course he would), so we all forgot about this promise, and lo and behold, on his first start back, Ilias Chair starts at left midfield.
Is this incompetent management or is Ilias telling these coaches that he prefers to play there? I highly doubt it’s the latter. I thought we were free of watching our best player waste away on the wing after Marti left. I was clearly wrong.
I call it a flat 4-4-2 because it’s easier to call it that. It’s more of a 4-4-1-1 though, with our marquee signing, and big number 9, being dropped into the 10. If you’re going to pick this formation, just play a 2 with Kone and Burrell. Need I say more? We’ve signed him to score goals. Let him score goals.
Kone doesn’t do a bad job playing deeper – he’s physical and holds it up well, occasionally defending from the front – but his technical ability is not that of a 10. With Chair now back and looking sharp, we don’t need that temporary fix anymore. Play the striker as a striker, and play the 10 as a 10.
That’s my team selection meltdown out of the way. Let’s try and talk about the game. As much as I don’t want to.
It started well, with Esquerdinha being beaten instantly by his Norwegian opponent, enabling him to put a cross right on the top of the leaping George Hirst’s head, past Paul Nardi. Less than 2 minutes played. One step-over, one cross, one header, and Hirst, who had scored 3 in 11, and none since September, was running over to the R block in celebration. Class.1-0.
The Tractor boys didn’t smell blood instantly, and allowed us back into the game. It was fairly end to end, with both sides having chances and attempts on goal, so it looked plausible that we may redeem ourselves.
So when Ilias Chair’s long range effort was parried to the feet of Rumarn Burrell, who calmly slotted it in, it looked like game on. It has to be said that Burrell, so far, has been the signing of the season. Not only did the Jamaican play a key role in our winning run, but he’s been present during tougher games when others haven’t – clawing one back against Millwall, securing us the win at Swansea, and getting us level here.
The goal was nothing special – Chair did well to bring the ball down, drive forward and get a decent shot off towards the bottom right corner which forced a save, and Burrell was there to pounce on it. I’m so impressed by this lad and his movement every week. Such a valuable player to have in your attack. Quick, clever, and hard-working, with a pretty decent striker’s instinct. More on him to come.
After levelling the scores, QPR looked pretty decent. Ipswich had a couple of dangerous chances, such as Nuñez forcing a save directly from a corner, but it was a two-way game. Kone nicked the ball in the final third and looked to be in on goal but was shut down well and forced to shoot from a tight angle. The teams went into the break at one apiece.
The second half started the same as the first. Ipswich launched the ball forward and were given a free kick on the edge of our box. What the ref saw here, with a clear view of the action, I’m still trying to decipher. I’ve watched it back a hundred times – Philogene jumps for a header, Hayden stands still, not laying a finger on him, and he ends up on the floor. Your guess is as good as mine.
The Sol Campbell of East Anglia stepped up to take it, and to be fair, it wasn’t a bad hit. You could (weakly) argue that maybe Nardi should be stopping it, but it was a good strike round the wall into the far corner. Unjust, but a good hit. Frustrating.
The players were clearly as rattled as me about that refereeing decision, as any competitive edge we may have had flew out the window and the game fell into the visitors’ hands.
10 minutes later, one of my favourite men to wear the hoops in the 2010s, Darnell Furlong, made a darting overlapping run and, beating the sliding Steve Cook, put a first time chipped cross in towards the back post and found an unmarked George Hirst. 3 goals in 11 now becomes 5 in 12. 1-1 now becomes 3-1. Here we go.
Both open play goals came from crosses from the left-hand side. For the first, Esquerdinha was beaten by a sharp, hungry winger with pace and skill – it happens. This time though, he’s not even in the frame. The ball found Darnell far too easily, and our left-back was nowhere to be seen. Avoidable goal, which I would also expect Dunne of all people to be making a better challenge for.
Rangers did continue to get forward but Kipre and O’Shea were proving difficult to beat. Just after the third went in, Madsen did well to drive forward and find Kone who again, due to Ipswich’s compactness, was shooting from far too tight of an angle, and wasn’t able to get a decent shot off. Dunne headed just over from the resulting corner.
The long-awaited return of Kwame Poku was warmly welcomed but it didn’t start well for the Ghanaian, who lost the ball on the half-way line to kickstart a dangerous counter attack. I say dangerous – it was one that I feel, with 6 men to Ipswich’s 4, would have been dealt with, if not for Morrison sliding in with his leg a metre in the air.
This time a valid free-kick decision in the same area as the first one. Taken again by Marcelino Nuñez. The Chilean didn’t hit this one half as well, and looked as though it may have been going wide, until it bounced off of Saito’s head past a dazzled Paul Nardi who, in an attempt to avoid being beaten at the far post again, positioned himself in the right-hand corner of the goal, leaving two thirds of it so wide open that you’d be more surprised if it didn’t go in.
Dead and buried. We searched for another consolation but it didn’t come. Saito’s low driven shot at the keeper was the most memorable chance, but there really wasn’t much else worth mentioning. A brutal way of bringing us back down to earth – though it’s not as if this descent hadn’t already begun a week prior.
When our tactical switch first occurred at home to Charlton, I was cautious enough to point out that this won’t be a long term solution. It did last longer than I expected, and although going into it on paper you might’ve looked at it as an easy run, we beat Charlton, Stoke and Bristol City in that run – all currently sat in the top 8.
There were signs though. 0-0 at home to Oxford, 1-1 at Hillsborough, a difficult win at Swansea. The Millwall loss was nothing, they’re a high-flying side and we competed. But did I ever feel that we looked like a side that could push for anything more than mid-table? Not really.
Though Madsen has turned into a different player, we still don’t play enough through the midfield. It’s been direct, attacking football which has become far too predictable. Any decent side is now able to suss it out and make easy work of it. Varane and Madsen have been doing fine, but there is something missing – and after every game I’m still left unable to pinpoint exactly what it is.
It could be that playing your striker in the 10 sacrifices a body in midfield? It could be that our full-backs aren’t technical enough to support their midfielders? It could be that we aren’t physical enough, though I’ve seen a huge improvement in that area over September/October. Maybe it’s a lack of pace? We are often very slow when it comes to building from the back or the midfield, so agile, energetic midfielders, like Nuñez, Bannan, or De Norre, find it easy to close us down and then create space for themselves.
I’m not a tactician, I’m not a coach. But you can look back at my Charlton Issue – I knew this set-up would run out of steam, and that we’d eventually have to come up with a solution that means we compete more in the middle of the park, and rely more on discipline, intensity and creativity, rather than counter-attacks.
That’s not to say I’m a genius – I’m sure most people foresaw this. It’s just clear that it’s not working anymore – we’ve gone from scoring three goals a game to struggling to get even one.
I personally would’ve expected Ilias Chair to be the solution. With Madsen much more reliable than last season, Chair, in the 10, would have more freedom to create and provide a greater threat in the attacking third, rather than having to do three people’s jobs.
Varane is not at his best, but I have no doubt he’ll be back to it soon enough. Hayden has been solid every time he’s played. So we have the quality in midfield, we just have to utilise it in the right way.
Playing Chair on the left is like using a Porsche to do removals. It’s not what he’s there for. It’s a waste. In the same sense, playing Kone in the 10 is like bringing a Removal Van to a drag race. He’s a strong, reliable finisher, who doesn’t have the fitness, agility or technicality to play in midfield. We need to see him in that box – that’s where his presence is most felt.
I get it, it’s a way of getting the best out of Burrell whilst having them both on the pitch. And the two link up very well. It worked wonders against Charlton and Wrexham, and to an extent, Swansea and Millwall, but Kone is becoming increasingly redundant, and as our one-dimensional game plan gets more blatantly found out, the longer we leave these holes in other areas of the pitch, the worse it’s going to get.
Burrell, as much as I massively rate him and believe he’s earnt his place in the starting XI, would be so useful off the bench against tired legs. He’s performed better than Kone as of late, but the Ivorian was signed to bring goals and be the main man. He can’t do that if he’s not playing as a striker.
So yes, I appreciate it’s not an ideal sacrifice and that there are issues that come with it, but you have to look at who our most important players are and where we’ve been repeatedly overrun. Sometimes in football you have to compromise – and whilst Stephan’s clever short-term fix got us out of some deep sh*t, Chair has come back at such a crucial time, bringing a bit of oomph to our midfield and potentially allowing Kone to flourish.
The dynamic football worked, and will still work in the right games, but long-term, with a now fully-fit squad, it’s not what we need. Play your 10 in the 10, play your striker as a striker. It’s not rocket science.
Rant over. Time to rate the boys.
Player Ratings:
Paul Nardi – 4/10
Speaks for itself, conceded four goals, half at fault for one of them. Terrible distribution, no box command from the crosses. Usual story. Boring.
Jimmy Dunne – 5/10
Thought Dunne did a good job of keeping Philogene quiet, but was uncharacteristically poor in the air. Hirst did well to lose him for his second, but I’d expect the skipper to deal with that on another day.
Liam Morrison – 4/10
Not a good outing for the Scotsman. Beaten in the air for the first goal, and gave away a stupid foul for the fourth. Good passing but terrible in the air and poor defensively – couple of really shaky moments and poor decisions.
Steve Cook – 4.5/10
Non-involvement from Cook. Slow, poor on the ball and just not good enough. Not really at fault for any of the goals but just not at his best. In hindsight, this was a game for Mbuenge.
Esquerdinha – 4/10
At fault for two goals, beaten too easily for the first and then on-existent for the third. I’m really confused about this kid. Clearly an immensely talented footballer, but is he a left-back?
I don’t see where he fits into an 11-a-side team. He’s skilful, good at passing (particularly long-range) and can get forward, but defensively he’s just not up to it – it makes me wonder why that was ever his position in the first place. Weird one. Maybe Stephan was thinking about pace up against Ipswich’s wide players. Who knows, but it was the wrong decision.
Harvey Vale – 5/10
Couldn’t get anything right – poor passing, poor crossing and not quick enough. When Vale has an off day, he really goes missing. Doesn’t have the fitness to play as a right midfielder in a flat formation either.
Isaac Hayden – 6.5/10
Hayden has been pretty bloody good since coming into the fold. He’s made up for Varane’s dip in form and slotted in perfectly. Winning his aerial duels, his ground duels and just being everywhere on the pitch, Hayden has made a real stamp on this team, and he showcased that here.
Nicolas Madsen – 5.5/10
Madsen has not shown any signs of going back to his old self. Even in a game like this where he was unable to have much of an impact, he works so much harder, is a key outlet and so, so important to us, both defensively and going forward. He needs help though, in the form of an attacking midfielder, which I’ve already touched on.
Ilias chair – 6.5/10
Played in the wrong position, but so good to see him back. Did well, and caused Ipswich problems with his usual work-rate and ball-carrying. Good effort for the first goal. Would be so much more effective in the middle.
Richard Kone – 6/10
Again, does well as the second striker/10, but shouldn’t be there. We need to see him in the box. Created a good opportunity for himself but was closed down well, and then again in the second half when he was given a chance at a tight angle. I have no doubt that the goals will continue when he’s played up top.
Rumarn Burrell – 6.5/10
Signing of the summer so far. I sound so contradictory when I’m effectively calling for him to be benched, but I see his value – I just think we can still get the best out of him without wasting Kone out of position. We’ll see.
Good work throughout the game, making good runs, and though he wasn’t getting on the ball as much, he was effective when he was – good finish for the goal, as easy as it was. He had to be there, and there are many that wouldn’t have been.
Substitutes:
- Rhys Norrington-Davies (62’) – 6/10 – Gave us a bit of stability at the back, should have started.
- Kwame Poku (62’) – 5.5/10 – Lost the ball for the counter attack which led to Morrison’s foul. Not completely his fault but not the best start. Looked good otherwise.
- Koki Saito (62’) – 5.5/10 – had a decent shot on goal but the game was practically finished by the time he was added.
- Michael Frey (68’) – 4/10 – Touched the ball 3 times, may as well have not been there.
- Amadou Mbuenge (78’) – 6/10 – Massive improvement on Steve Cook. Another who should have started.
Man of the Match: Isaac Hayden – 6.5/10
Covers more ground than someone of his pace and agility would be expected to. Crucial defensively, and good passing ability. A cool head, giving Varane strong competition for his spot. Hayden barely put a foot wrong in this game, but it wasn’t enough.
Donkey of the Day: Liam Morrison
I could go with Nardi but I’m done participating in the pile-on that seems to be occuring. Nardi makes some really infuriating mistakes, but you lose one or two games because of your keeper. You concede silly goals. You don’t lose 4-1 because of your keeper. Thats not fair. We’ve not played well. It’s on the outfield players. Not the keeper.
Donkey has to go to Morrison for his needless challenge to give away the free-kick for the second. Too high, reckless and completely unnecessary. We had enough men back to likely deal with the attack. Naive.
Summary:
A frustrating result which was probably overdue. However, as much as we deserved to lose, I’m not sure that was a 4-1 game. Take away a baffling refereeing decision and a stupid challenge, and that’s only a 2-1 loss, in which we’ve competed. However, I won’t go too deep with the whataboutery. We got smashed, and need to look at what our plan is going forward.
Up Next:
Championship Matchday 14: Southampton (H)
Score Prediction: QPR 1-1 Southampton
One to Watch: Ryan Manning
There aren’t many having a worse time of it than Southampton at the moment, but with the news of Will Still’s sacking, we could potentially be in for a tough one, especially with our dip in form.
In terms of one to watch, I could have picked Adam Armstrong, a solid championship striker on the same goal tally as Kone and Burrell, or even Leo Scienza, a tricky winger who ranks among the top players for chance creation in the league. Dunne will have a tough time dealing with him.
But I’m going to go with someone we’re all very familiar with. Ryan Manning. It feels like a lifetime ago that Manning left the Rs but he’s done pretty well (at this level) since leaving. The Irishman had a tough time of it in the premier league, but started this season as one of Southampton’s key men.
A technical left-back who can put a dangerous cross in (if only he could do that for us) but also defend well with a strong physical presence, will no doubt be a struggle to contain. I do also worry, after this weekend’s events, about giving him a set-piece. He’s scored two sublime free kicks already this season, so we need to ensure he doesn’t get that opportunity again.
It just stinks of it, doesn’t it? Former QPR player who left on what I remember to be bad terms (correct me if I’m wrong) and has a point to prove (if he hasn’t already gone beyond proving that point). If he doesn’t get a goal I can at least see him having a strong game against our midfield and/or putting some dangerous balls into our area.
I think it’s too short notice for a new-manager-bounce but the Saints may get a bit of a spark, being able to express themselves without Still’s over-analytical approach to the game. He’s a brilliant tactician but as a man manager, I can’t see him being very motivational, and a motivator is what Southampton needed after their performance last season.
With Still gone, whoever takes charge, or even the leadership team (fancy way of saying captains) may be able to find a way to gee their men up and get something out of this game. I’m also worried about Ronnie Edwards, of course.
1-1 draw I’m going for. Saito goal.
Championship Matchday 14 Predictions:
No predictions to reflect on from last week, so let’s dive straight into our midweek ones.
- Birmingham City 1-2 Millwall
- Bristol City 2-0 Blackburn Rovers
- Charlton Athletic 2-2 West Bromwich Albion
- Derby County 1-1 Hull City
- Ipswich Town 3-2 Watford
- Leicester City 0-2 Middlesbrough
- Oxford United 1-3 Stoke City
- Coventry City 3-1 Sheffield United
- Preston North End 2-0 Swansea City
- Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 Norwich City
- Portsmouth 1-2 Wrexham
See you Wednesday.
You R’s.